North Central Texas 2030 Demographic Forecast

Demographic Forecast Query

The North Central Texas Council of Governments’ (NCTCOG) Demographic Forecast provides long-range, small area population, household and employment projections for use in intra-regional infrastructure planning and resource allocations in the metropolitan area of North Central Texas. The forecast, which is conducted for the 10 counties surrounding the Dallas-Fort Worth urban core, predicts growth of almost 4 million persons and just over 2 million jobs between 2000 and 2030. By 2030, the area is expected to reach 9.1 million persons and approximately 5.4 million jobs. The forecast was developed using a federally recognized land-use model that allocated households and employment to the 10 counties for a regional control total, then disaggregated the totals to forecast districts, cities, and counties. Extensive review by RIS staff ensued each 5-year forecast. Local municipalities worked with staff to ensure that local government land use and comprehensive plans were included in the forecast. A task force of local officials from city, county, and transportation entities acted as a governing body for the process and endorsed the forecast for approval by NCTCOG's Executive Board.

NCTCOG 2030 Demographic Forecast [PDF]

Demographic Forecast Query

Demographic Forecast Radius Summary

10-County Urban Area	2000	2010	2020	2030
Household Population	5,067,400	6,328,200	7,646,600	9,107,900
Households	1,886,700	2,350,300	2,851,400	3,396,100
Employment	3,158,200	3,897,000	4,658,700	5,416,700

Demographic Forecast Maps

2000-2030 Household, Population, and Employment Growth [PDF]

2030 Population and Employment Density [PDF]

Forecast District Map [PDF]

TSZ Boundary Map - Central Dallas Inset, Central Fort Worth Inset [PDF, 42" x 33"]

City Maps with 2001 Aerial Photographs and TSZ Boundaries [34" x 44", FTP access required]

2000 Urbanized Areas as defined by the U.S. Census Bureau [PDF]

Demographic Forecast Data

2000-2030 Population, Households and Employment by city and county [PDF]

2000-2030 data by city, county, or forecast district [DBF, FTP access required]

Forecast district GIS files

North Central Texas 2030 Demographic Forecast

Demographic Forecast Maps

Demographic Forecast Data

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